Quote:
Originally Posted by Qwikshot
They can't win the war because they cannot invade Russia. All they can do is drag it out to the point of stalemate or regime change.
Neither will happen, Russia will send as much in resources to grind away humanity in Ukraine. If they cannot win, they will eradicate.
Russia will also not replace Putin. He's got a firm grasp.
Ukraine will be whittled away. The occupation zones will be devoid of humanity but will fly the Russian flag.
If Ukraine were to mount an offensive in Russia, I'm pretty sure Putin would use the nuclear option to deal with it. Small war heads against military targets, with international rebuke, to full scale warheads of cities.
The West will do nothing.
If Putin can't have Ukraine, then he'll make it uninhabitable. If the West allows for it, he'll go after other former Soviet Bloc nations, all with China shrugging.
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That's what it looks like. In terms of tactics, we keep hearing that the skies are open, but what's not in evidence is all that much of Russia's air power. As bad as things are right now, they could be so much worse with steady air bombardment.
We can't stop it without starting WWIII. Xi could stop it, but he knows we will do anything we can to prevent WWIII and that serves his interests.
It surprises me that Putin is willing to sacrifice so many of his own troops. He seems quite secure and Russian police have come down quite harshly on war protests, arresting thousands. Putin is changing laws (unanimously in the Duma - debate is not welcome), driving out the media.