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Old 11-17-2008, 01:31 PM   #52
Alan T
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Mass.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jeheinz72 View Post
I'd surmise that they would indeed throw a fake-role-reveal into the mix, given that I think in either overall case (3 or 4 wolves) they're better off of they do. But that could be my blinders on from the decision I made last game.

If there are 4 wolves though, I think the wolves would be pretty foolish to just let us reveal and not throw a fake in.

With 3, it's a little tighter, mainly because with 3 wolves they can less afford to sacrifice a wolf

But, I'm still open to the idea even with that. Looking at last game, it was basically a coin-flip. The village had the game at the end, and still had a shot to win even with the 66/33 split on the final roll of the dice.

I think it is a poor decision for them to throw a red herring in, as the smart move for the villagers then would be to focus on an even smaller group of players that are all either non-rolled villagers or wolves. The other group that contains the seer can help find out which of those four are lying.
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