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I was curious about putting some specific numbers to the discussion a while back about the likelihood of certain outcomes. Best sample set I could find was that going back to 1980 - it appears to not have changed perceptibly over time - underdogs win more than 23% of the time in regular-season games (36% in bowls). But just looking at the underdog numbers, that includes some close calls but also obviously a lot of blowouts and predicted blowouts.
Last edited by Brian Swartz : 12-07-2022 at 11:20 PM.
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