[Autumn]

Here are my ramblings while looking over the voting records from yesterday. I'm simply writing out what happened for my benefit, and musing over what it might mean if different players were wolves. It might be of some use to someone else.

Day Two:

(230) – Abe Sargent votes ntndeadon (ntndeacon 1)
(238) – ntndeacon votes EagleFan (ntndeacon 1, EagleFan 1)
(240) – Darth Vilus votes J23 (ntndeacon 1, EagleFan 1, J23 1)
(247) – EagleFan votes Autumn (ntndeacon 1, EagleFan 1, J23 1, Autumn 1)
(248) – RealDeal votes EagleFan (EagleFan 2, ntndeacon 1, J23 1, Autumn 1)
(249) – Abe Sargent unvotes ntndeacon, votes dubb93 (EagleFan 2, J23 1, Autumn 1, dubb93 1)
(254) – Lathum is reborn
(257) – dubb93 votes saldana (EagleFan 2, J23 1, Autumn 1, dubb93 1, saldana 1)
(266) – hoops voted PurdueBrad (EagleFan 2, J23 1, Autumn 1, dubb93 1, saldana 1, PurdueBrad 1)
(270) – path claims ressurector
(284) – Lathum votes CrimsonFox (EagleFan 2, J23 1, Autumn 1, dubb93 1, saldana 1, PurdueBrad 1, CrimsonFox 1)
(287) – path12 votes CrimsonFox (EagleFan 2, CrimsonFox 2, J23 1, Autumn 1, dubb93 1, saldana 1, PurdueBrad 1)
(297) – saldana votes CrimsonFox (CrimsonFox 3, EagleFan 2, J23 1, Autumn 1, dubb93, 1, saldana 1, PurdueBrad 1)
(298) – RendeR votes Kwhit (CrimsonFox 3, EagleFan 2, J23 1, Autumn 1, dubb93 1, saldana 1, PurdueBrad 1, Kwhit 1)
(304) – EagleFan unvotes Autumn, votes PurdueBrad (CrimsonFox 3, EagleFan 2, PurdueBrad 2, J23 1, dubb93 1, saldana 1, Kwhit 1)
(315) – PurdueBrad votes CrimsonFox (CrimsonFox 4, EagleFan 2, PurdueBrad 2, J23 1, dubb93 1, saldana 1, Kwhit 1)
(319) – J23 votes PurdueBrad (CrimsonFox 4, PurdueBrad 3, EagleFan 2, J23 1, dubb93 1, saldana 1, Kwhit 1)
(321) – CrimsonFox votes PurdueBrad (CrimsonFox 4, PurdueBrad 4, EagleFan 2, J23 1, dubb93 1, saldana 1, Kwhit 1)
(335) – EagleFan unvoted PurdueBrad, votes Kwhit (CrimsonFox 4, PurdueBrad 3, EagleFan 2, Kwhit 2, J23 1, dubb93 1, saldana 1)
(344) – henry296 votes Kwhit (CrimsonFox 4, PurdueBrad 3, Kwhit 3, EagleFan 2, J23 1, dubb93 1, saldana 1)
(345) – path12 unvotes CrimsonFox (CrimsonFox 3, PurdueBrad 3, Kwhit 3, EagleFan 2, J23 1, dubb93 1, saldana 1)
(346) – Autumn votes Kwhit (Kwhit 4, CrimsonFox 3, PurdueBrad 3, EagleFan 2, J23 1, dubb93 1, saldana 1)
(349) – Kwhit votes saldana (Kwhit 4, CrimsonFox 3, PurdueBrad 3, EagleFan 2, saldana 2, J23 1, dubb93 1)
(350) – PurdueBrad unvotes CrimsonFox (Kwhit 4, PurdueBrad 3, CrimsonFox 2, EagleFan 2, saldana 2, J23 1, dubb93 1)
(361) – CrimsonFox unvotes PurdueBrad, votes saldana (Kwhit 4, saldana 3, PurdueBrad 2, CrimsonFox 2, EagleFan 2, J23 1, dubb93 1)
(363) – PurdueBrad votes J23 (Kwhit 4, saldana 3, PurdueBrad 2, CrimsonFox 2, EagleFan 2, J23 2, dubb93 1)
(366) – path12 votes J23 (Kwhit 4, saldana 3, J23 3, PurdueBrad 2, CrimsonFox 2, EagleFan 2, dubb93 1)
(368) – RealDeal unvotes EagleFan, votes PurdueBrad (Kwhit 4, saldana 3, J23 3, PurdueBrad 3, CrimsonFox 2, EagleFan 1, dubb93 1)
(384) – Lathum unvotes CrimsonFox, votes PurdueBrad (Kwhit 4, PurdueBrad 4, saldana 3, J23 3, CrimsonFox 1, EagleFan 1, dubb93 1)
(386) – Schmidty votes Kwhit (Kwhit 5, PurdueBrad 4, saldana 3, J23 3, CrimsonFox 1, EagleFan 1, dubb93 1)
(399) – PurdueBrad unvotes J23, votes Kwhit (Kwhit 6, PurdueBrad 4, saldana 3, J23 2, CrimsonFox 1, EagleFan 1, dubb93 1)
(402) – Kwhit unvotes saldana, votes PurdueBrad (Kwhit 6, PurdueBrad 5, saldana 2, J23 2, CrimsonFox 1, EagleFan 1, dubb93 1)

The PurdueBrad runs:

Hoops introduces PB, EF brings him into the mix, J23 and then CrimsonFox push him into the lead. EF unvotes PB, CF later unvotes PB. Then RealDeal pushes PB back into contention, Lathum puts PB tied for the lead. KWhit adds another vote later to put PB one behind him.

If PB was bad, EF would look bad also, as his unvote pushed CF ahead of PB for the time being. CF's unvote could look bad, but if they were both wolves I don't see CF voting for PB in the first place when they're both in the lead.

EagleFan:

EF got two early votes and then sat there at 2 the rest of the day. I think this was a case of people trying to avoid an early runaway vote, I know that's how I felt, but could be of interest that he never gained any traction.

CrimsonFox runs:

Lathum introduces CF, Path and Saldana quickly follow pushing him into the lead. PB follows later, increasing CF's lead to 4-2. When it is tied 4-4 CF/PB EF unvotes PB to leave CF in the lead alone. That could be of interest. Path unvotes CF which leaves him tied for the lead but not ahead, 3-3. I vote Kwhit, putting him in hte lead of CF. PB unvotes CF, dropping him from contention. Lathum unvotes CF late.

I suspect what we have here is "new guy syndrome" where he gets some flack for his playing style, which we are not used to, and then people stay away from him for that reason. I know i didn't vote for him because I felt this way. If he is a wolf, then Path, PB and I would look bad.

KWhit:

KWhit is added by Render partway through the day then sits at 1 until EF adds him into the mix, moving away from PB. Henry follows, pushing KWhit into contention and my vote puts him into the lead in a 4-3-3 split with CF and PB. He sits there for a long time until Lathum puts PB into a tie. Schmidty and PB put KWhit back into the lead.

Interesting that PB voted J23 when a vote for Saldana or KWhit would have been a safer move to keep himself alive. If KWhit is bad then there is a long stretch where he was in the lead and we can look at the movement to see who might have been trying to create a new contender, vs. who could have saved him but didn't.

Interestingly if both PB and KWhit were bad then there last minute movements, plus Schmidty's could be intended to look good when KWhit came up bad.

Saldana:

Dubb votes Saldana early , he sits at one for a long time until KWhit bumps him up to 2, and then CF follows to put Saldana at 3 and a contender. PB and Path vote J23 bumping him into the mix, instead of following on Saldana (I choose not to follow on him as well). Saldana ends up sitting at 3.