Quote:
Originally Posted by Mota
I don't necessarily disagree with you here, but the MLB draft is notoriously unpredictable. There's tons of players that have made it from the lower rounds, and a laundry list of guys that got drafted high and never even cracked the majors. Scouts are often wrong.
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Sure scouts are often wrong, but the draft isn't a random crap shoot. Guys drafted early have a much better chance of being big time prospects than guys drafted late. Overall scouts do a pretty good job of grading talent. Look at the draft round for BA's top 100 prospects for 2010.
44: First
6: Supplemental first, second
5: Fourth, fifth
2: Third, eighth, 10th
1: Sixth, ninth, 11th, 15th, 17th, 18th,
20th, 22nd, 33rd, 36th