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As with basically everything in this game I'm sure it's a dice roll. Higher personalities, leadership, etc., probably equate to better dice rolls to flip the switch on affinity.
Every week a player starts they probably get a +1 to their affinity roll so that by ~8th week they get a positive roll.
I'd be surprised if we ever figure out exactly what causes the affinity to trigger because of the variables and behind the scenes dice rolls. If it were as simple as "does player have X starts?" then we would figure it out in no time, but rarely is anything that simple in FOF.
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