For
Baltimore or
Tallahassee, I'm going to ignore tiebreakers at 10-8 or 11-7 because there are a ton of combinations and I have no idea what the tiebreakers are. Getting in outright comes down to this:
- They must win out, going 4-0.
- New York or Canton has to go 0-4.
- Neither Willow City (2 wins) nor Big Inning (3 wins) can get to 11 wins.
Since Canton plays every single one of those teams listed above
and Willow City and Big Inning play each other, this gets convoluted. The linchpin game here is actually Willow City @ Big Inning; if Willow City wins:
- Canton must beat Willow City, so New York has to be the team that goes 0-4.
- Willow City can't win another game, and must go 0-3.
- Big Inning has to lose one additional game.
If Big Inning wins:
- Big Inning needs to pick up two losses among Canton, San Fernando, and Otisburg.
- Willow City needs to pick up two losses among Baltimore, Canton, and San Fernando.
- One of Canton or New York has to go 0-4 still.
Unfortunately, both games with huge implications (Canton @ New York and Willow City @ Big Inning) happen in week 18. How does this upcoming sim shake out in terms of playoff implications?
San Fernando is eliminated with any of the following:
- Any loss.
- Any New York win.
- Any Willow City win.
- Any Big Inning win.
- Baltimore beating Tallahassee.
Baltimore or
Tallahassee are eliminated with any of the following:
- The loser of their head-to-head matchup is eliminated.
- New York and Canton going 2-0.
- A loss in their non-head-to-head game and any two of the following:
- New York winning at least one game.
- Canton winning at least one game.
- Willow City winning both games.
Big Inning is eliminated with:
- Any loss and New York and Canton going 2-0.
- Two losses and either one of the following:
- New York winning at least 1 game.
- Willow City winning both games.
Willow City is eliminated with:
- Two losses and New York and Canton going 2-0.