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sterlingice · 08-29-2012, 08:13 AM

Looked at expected vs actual results this season:

(opponent) (expected GD) (% W/D/L) (actual result) (difference)

Code:

vs Hoboken       2.73-1.68 64/15/21 0-1 L - lost 3 points
at Delze         2.57-4.10 17/13/69 2-3 L - as expected
at Garden State  1.60-1.48 37/40/23 0-2 L - lost 1 point
vs Beaverton     3.97-1.22 79/10/10 6-1 W - as expected
at Westchester   5.49-1.26 03/04/93 0-6 L - as expected
vs AVENTURA      1.33-1.02 38/28/34 1-2 L - lost 1 point
at Idiots        0.90-3.44 05/08/86 2-4 L - as expected
vs Iditos        3.31-2.31 52/20/28 4-2 W - as expected
at AVENTURA      1.88-1.05 59/23/18 2-1 W - as expected
vs Westchester   1.26-1.91 25/23/52 2-3 L - as expected
at Beaverton     2.42-1.53 52/21/27 1-3 L - lost 3 points

Using the average expectation, I should have 8 more points and in two games where I lost, I should have at least drew but had a higher chance to win than the other team so it could have conceivably been 12 points. /sigh/ With just 8 points I'd be in 3rd or 4th as opposed to 7th.

SI

08-29-2012, 08:13 AM	#257
sterlingice Hall Of Famer Join Date: Apr 2002 Location: Back in Houston!	Looked at expected vs actual results this season: (opponent) (expected GD) (% W/D/L) (actual result) (difference) Code: vs Hoboken 2.73-1.68 64/15/21 0-1 L - lost 3 points at Delze 2.57-4.10 17/13/69 2-3 L - as expected at Garden State 1.60-1.48 37/40/23 0-2 L - lost 1 point vs Beaverton 3.97-1.22 79/10/10 6-1 W - as expected at Westchester 5.49-1.26 03/04/93 0-6 L - as expected vs AVENTURA 1.33-1.02 38/28/34 1-2 L - lost 1 point at Idiots 0.90-3.44 05/08/86 2-4 L - as expected vs Iditos 3.31-2.31 52/20/28 4-2 W - as expected at AVENTURA 1.88-1.05 59/23/18 2-1 W - as expected vs Westchester 1.26-1.91 25/23/52 2-3 L - as expected at Beaverton 2.42-1.53 52/21/27 1-3 L - lost 3 points Using the average expectation, I should have 8 more points and in two games where I lost, I should have at least drew but had a higher chance to win than the other team so it could have conceivably been 12 points. /sigh/ With just 8 points I'd be in 3rd or 4th as opposed to 7th. SI __________________ Houston Hippopotami, III.3: 20th Anniversary Thread - All former HT players are encouraged to check it out! Janos: "Only America could produce an imbecile of your caliber!" Freakazoid: "That's because we make lots of things better than other people!" Last edited by sterlingice : 08-29-2012 at 08:14 AM.