Quote:
Originally Posted by JAG
I don't buy Simbo's story as mathematically it's unlikely. Once you remove Danny, bh, and themselves as scan possibilities, there was a 4/15 chance for the seer to scan a wolf last night. For the cultist, they would have had a 1/14 chance to scan the seer last night assuming their other two scans were still alive, or else 1/15 / 1/16 otherwise.
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The cultist would have had two nights to scan for the professor, increasing the odds slightly. But the math is still in mau's favor here. I think the only thing that's nagging at me is the timing of his reveal.