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Old 10-02-2014, 05:16 AM   #13
Izulde
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Sep 2004


Note: Colorado yellow is actually Hickenlooper

We're getting torn apart in a few of our Super Tuesday targets - namely Minnesota, Colorado, and Tennessee, so I think it's time we started trying to come back from the bottom of the pack in Ohio as we're the only Dem candidate not to put any effort into it, and if we win the nomination, we'll need to have presence there anyway.

Turn 109
Ben Carson endorses Chris Christie, Withdraws
Brian Sandoval endorses Chris Christie, Withdraws

Yep. They're starting to rally around Christie, it appears.

Turn 110
Rick Perry endorses Chris Christie, Withdraws

Turn 111
Deval Patrick endorses Hillary Clinton, Withdraws
+8 Momentum in Tennessee

Frankly worrying that people are closing ranks around Hillary. We need a Super Tuesday breakthrough.

Turn
Susan Martinez endorses Chris Christie, Withdraws
John Hickenlooper endorses Hillary Clinton, Withdraws
2 Power Paul Ryan takes Nevada
+5 Momentum in Michigan



Poor Jeb. So close to getting those delegates and putting himself in a stronger position, but it just wasn't meant to be. Peter King was the worst in-race candidate at 1.7%



DAYYYYYUM! Okay, that was predicted in the last map, but it's just more and more grist for Ventura.

Hickenlooper's withdrawing and endorsing will probably kill any chance we had at getting of Colorado, as he was polling 14.9% there, which was second only to Cuomo's 16% and with Hillary at 11.2% and already carrying momentum, well...

We're surprisingly in play in Oklahoma, so we'll add it to target state.

Turn 114
5 Power Warren Triumphs in Debate
Ted Cruz endorsed by Gov. Jan Brewer



I am disappoint we didn't get a Clinton meltdown, but she had -1 is all. Boo. We had a negative interview on Hardball which was a minor news story. Double boo.

Turn 115
3 Power Cuomo Scandal
+5 Momentum in Puerto Rico

Turn 116
Ted Cruz endorses Chris Christie, Withdraws
John Thune endorses Chris Christie, Withdraws
Peter King endorses Chris Christie, Withdraws
John Huntsman endorses Chris Christie, Withdraws
Julian Castro endorses Hillary Clinton, Withdraws
+8 Momentum in Minnesota



Forgot to note the power of the win, but it's Sarah Palin at the bottom of those still in with 4.2%.



Nice steal by Ryan here to slow Christie down a bit. McDonnell is on the bottom of those in with 4.5%.





The Libertarian candidates trade blowout wins.

We had a bad interview on the Jay Leno and that's twice now we've had 70+ % chance of success and blown it.

Want to see the effect of all those endorsements for Christie?



1144 delegates is what's needed for a majority, and right now it's shaping that Christie's going to run away with it. On the Democratic side, Hillary needs 2761 delegates for the majority and she's projected to get 2704 at the moment, or *just* enough to force a convention fight.

The grim news - after initially looking like she was going to get finished off on Super Tuesday, Hillary now projects to have an even better showing than we do.

Turn 117
6 Power Ryan Scandal
+8 Momentum in Colorado

Time to start researching a scandal on Hillary and hope we can find something in time for Super Tuesday.

Turn 120
Chris Christie takes Maine's 24 seats with 17% of the vote to Walker's 11.6%
Gary Johnson gets a blowout Maine win to get 24 seats, too.
+3 Momentum in Colorado

Turn 121
Jeb Bush endorses Chris Christie, Withdraws
Alan Grayson endorses Hillary Clinton, Withdraws
+6 Momentum in Tennessee

Turn 122
Sarah Palin endorses Chris Christie, Withdraws

Turn 123
2 weeks from Arizona and 3 from Super Tuesday

Super Tuesday Strong Likelihood of Winning - 5% or higher
Massachusetts
Georgia

Super Tuesday Leading - 1 to 4%
Missouri
Puerto Rico
Texas
Hawaii

Super Tuesday Chasing - -1 to -9%
Colorado
US Virgin Islands
Tennessee
Vermont

No STC (-10% or more)
Ohio
Oklahoma
Virginia

And of course, we'll get waxed in Arizona.

Turn 124
Rand Paul endorses Chris Christie, Withdraws
Scott Walker endorses Chris Christie, Withdraws
3 Power Republicans ahead of Democrats in Polls

Our scandal research refuses to budge past 1%, and I'm not sure how to raise it. We do now have a 6 power attack ad on Clinton for the US that we'll put in the arsenal for Super Tuesday week.

IMO it's just a matter of form until Christie is made the nominee for the Republicans. He's got double the lead of Rubio nationally with 26.4% and has momentum to boot.
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