Quote:
Originally Posted by JPhillips
I wouldn't say that with any confidence. People forget how important the Iraq War vote was in the primary. Clinton never had a good answer for that and the Dems were leery of her support. In the general the Dem was always going to have a significant advantage after the Bush years and studies have shown that the increased minority vote was largely offset by a loss of white voters.
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I actually would argue that Clinton would have taken the primary over him. The Dems were pretty much guaranteed to take it over the Reps, given the state of affairs. The push Obama got was out of the blue and in many ways, unprecedented. I just don't think it would have happened were he not a minority, and I don't think he would have taken down Clinton, no matter how much baggage she has/had.