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Old 11-06-2014, 04:10 PM   #68
Solecismic
Solecismic Software
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Canton, OH
It was considerably more difficult. If Clinton had fought, she would have argued that the Florida and Michigan delegates should be seated (Obama withdrew from Michigan entirely, Clinton didn't). And it wasn't until near the end of May that the math on state delegates without Florida/Michigan was in Obama's favor.

Whatever happened, it was close enough that the superdelegates would or could have decided the race if Clinton hadn't dropped out. On June 2, the superdelegate total was about even. Obama received about 150 pledges in the next four days, including about 50 who had previously pledged to Clinton.

Until then, the convention would have been all about Florida and Michigan, both sides having arguments for inclusion or non-inclusion. The deal was made that first week of June, and Hillary dropped out on June 8.

Because the winner of the pledged total would have been different, based on Florida/Michigan, and because, especially in Michigan, that would have been difficult to resolve to everyone's satisfaction, there was huge incentive to work this out with Clinton.

It was definitely in the DNC's interest to resolve this before the convention. And in order to do that, one of the two had to drop out. It made no sense for Obama to make that sacrifice - he was the rising star, and to make the math work the DNC would have had to reverse its decision on Florida and Michigan and argue that Obama shouldn't have listened to their recommendation and gone to Michigan anyway.

So the Democrats did the right thing. But Clinton's sacrifice was not a small one. And she understandably wants every advantage possible in 2016.
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