[Chief Rum]

All right, I did some workups on an Excel spreadsheet, and here's about what I came up with. I suspect the numbers on each side of the peak should be the same, but I probably missed something somewhere. But I am pretty confident I am close on the proper breakdown.

Here goes:

Accuracy Range (% of group likely to be in that range)

5-15% (.03% of group)
16-23% (.95% of group)
24-31% (4.2% of group)
32-39% (10.9% of group)
40-47% (19.2% of group)
48-55% (23.6% of group)
56-63% (20.8% of group)
64-71% (13.0% of group)
72-79% (5.6% of group)
80-87% (1.5% of group)
88-100% (.19% of group)

Assuming five wolves and discounting Teacher's Pet and Fool (14 others)...

Likely only 1-2 players outside of the 32%-71% range (and the chances of getting 5 or 100 is infinitesimal).

*--more probable

1-2 from 32-39%
2-3* from 40-47%
3*-4 from 48-55%
3 from 56-63%
2 from 64-71%

Assuming four wolves and discounting Teacher's Pet and Fool (15 others)...

Likely only 1-2 players outside of the 32%-71% range (and the chances of getting 5 or 100 is infinitesimal).

*--more probable

1-2 from 32-39%
3 from 40-47%
3-4 from 48-55%
3 from 56-63%
2 from 64-71%

The mean was 51-52%, as expected.