Germany tested a random sample of 1,000 residents and found that 2% of the population was currently infected, and that 14% were carrying antibodies suggesting that they had already been infected. Then eliminating overlap, it was concluded that 15% of the sample had been infected.
If that number is accurate and could be calculated out to the country than Germany's death rate from the virus would be around 0.22%. (Not accounting for people who died under the radar, which hopefully isn't too significant a number in Germany.)
That seems like pretty good news. 15% already, and it's the 15% who had a lifestyle most likely to come across it early. You'd have to think the % is much higher in places that didn't do as well containing it, like New York.
(Edit: Of course, as Arles alluded to, whatever that % is, it's now going to grow only very slowly from here on out as long as restrictive movement politics are in place)
Last edited by molson : 04-10-2020 at 02:25 PM.
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