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Old 03-05-2020, 07:43 AM   #289
JPhillips
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Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
Quote:
Originally Posted by PilotMan View Post
This is my point. You're capturing all the deaths from the disease and you're only capturing the sickest of the people who are infected. Certainly the number of people infected is far greater than 95,000. Sure, only going by the raw numbers (which is the only real number that scientists can go by, because it's the only numbers they have), those numbers are correct, however you really can't presume that it's an accurate number.

I don't know where the death rate will eventually fall, but those uncertainties are being taken into account in the modeling. They aren't just dividing known cases by known death.
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