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This thread unfortunately doesn't get much traction, but I wanted to throw some stuff around.
As chronicled above I have a ticket for a dime on the Indians to win the AL central at 8-1, so I stand to get 9K back. Made this bet when they were 7.5 back and now they are a game back.
It is getting to the point where I need to hedge. I have to do something either today or tomorrow, as next week the Twins get Miami and KC while the Indians get the Astros and the Angels, so I could easily see the Twins extending their lead.
Today the twins get the white Sox and the Indians have Bauer against KC. These scenarios can occur, both win or both lose and the odds stay the same, tthe Twins gain a game and the odds go up, or the Indians make up a game and the odds go down.
Currently the best odds are the Twins -190 at Draftkings. Trying to decide if I bet the $1900 on the wins, which guarantees a freeroll on the Indians for a 6K return, or if I see what happens today and potentially get a better price.
The biggest concern is Draftkings not taking a bet that size.
So what says you? Hedge today, tomorrow, or not at all?
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