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hoopsguy · 11-19-2005, 04:46 PM

OK, now that the night actions are processed, discussion can ensue.

11 left, 2-3 wolves out there. This is working off an assumption that there were three wolves to start, that there was a cursed taken on night 1, and that the cunning wolf may or may not be in play.

There have been no tandem deaths so lovers are intact.

The seer is still intact.

Worst case - score is 8-3 right now:
We lynch an innocent who is not the seer/lovers and score is 7-3
Wolves hit the lovers, 5-3
We string up another villager, and game is over.

So the game could be over in two turns, but everything would have to break wrong for this to happen. The seer only views villagers, we only lynch villagers, and the wolves hit the lovers. Realistically we have three days to work with and emerging voting patterns to look at.

Blade was a pretty prolific poster, so there is a ton of content to go through in terms of figuring out why he might have been targeted over other candidates last night. Finally, there are strong voting patterns to be evaluated.

11-19-2005, 04:46 PM	#863
hoopsguy General Manager Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Chicago	OK, now that the night actions are processed, discussion can ensue. 11 left, 2-3 wolves out there. This is working off an assumption that there were three wolves to start, that there was a cursed taken on night 1, and that the cunning wolf may or may not be in play. There have been no tandem deaths so lovers are intact. The seer is still intact. Worst case - score is 8-3 right now: We lynch an innocent who is not the seer/lovers and score is 7-3 Wolves hit the lovers, 5-3 We string up another villager, and game is over. So the game could be over in two turns, but everything would have to break wrong for this to happen. The seer only views villagers, we only lynch villagers, and the wolves hit the lovers. Realistically we have three days to work with and emerging voting patterns to look at. Blade was a pretty prolific poster, so there is a ton of content to go through in terms of figuring out why he might have been targeted over other candidates last night. Finally, there are strong voting patterns to be evaluated.