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The natural response to "experienced players die early if they aren't wolves" theory is for the wolves to begin working towards the less experienced players earlier in the action to let the villagers do the work for them.
We ended up doing that to some extent, with keeping Ardent around until Night 7 and Barkeep/Path ended up being lynched on Day 7. Dubb forced his removal on Day 3. I think that wolves who are paying attention to the game are going to at least have to consider doing this to keep some element of mystery.
I agree that it isn't much fun being snuffed by the wolves in a game before you really get going. But we are getting a deeper pool of experienced players and I'm not sure that the current trend is going to be the same as the results 5-7 games from now.
I can't argue point #1, although I think that the trend has been more positive than negative over the last few games.
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