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Old 04-14-2020, 02:53 PM   #44
corbes
College Benchwarmer
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Evidently no surprise at #4. My spreadsheet saw the guard as the fourth best overall in the class, one of four players who were at least three full standard deviations above the mean. An overall score of 75 with his bars (81) somewhat rosier than his grade (68) or combine (66).

A few other observations from the first round: DE Bryant Porter (1.20) seems (according to this spreadsheet) to be the second-best prospect in the draft, with an overall (82) and unreal combines (93). Along with the guard and the QB (1.1) and WR (1.2), was one of the aforementioned four players who graded out more than 3 standard deviations above the mean. Seems like a steal to have fallen all the way to 24. Was he a red flag? DE Abraham Hoffman (1.33) (overall 76, stdev 2.8) and CB Eduardo McElreath (1.26 Tucker) (overall 70, stdev 2.7) are two more who seem to have slipped more than 15 spots on the draft board.
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