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Old 04-14-2020, 03:09 PM   #46
corbes
College Benchwarmer
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
So one thing my spreadsheet did was try to predict who would boom (beyond their predicted peak overall) or bust (never reach their predicted peak overall), by taking correlations from a large data set between draft characteristics and eventual ratings changes. I was never able to tweak this enough to be reliable because of the noise created by VSOL and VSOD. But LB Small had a noteworthy score by this metric, however unreliable it may have been. Only DT Carter Jamison (2.26) and G Christopher Johnson (ahem) had substantially higher scores. The two defensive ends (Hoffman and Porter) were high on this list too.

The QB picked by the AI at 1.8 fared worst by that metric.

Last edited by corbes : 04-14-2020 at 03:12 PM.
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