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The next flashpoint is when an active serviceman from a NATO country among the 40k volunteers who have allegedly gone to Ukraine gets captured or killed and that gets used for an escalation. That is absolutely a story that Putin has written and is ready to use.
Just waiting to see which spark lights all the touch paper that has been left lying around at this point. Putin knows he has no endgame at this point except the nuclear option - we can only hope he’s thinking figuratively rather than literally
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