Quote:
Originally Posted by korme
I just wasted my time looking up Lester numbers when a much better example would be King Felix, who has exactly one more win than Jon (166), but probably a much better resume (2 CY for starters). That's probably a better example of how even 250 seems fucking impossible today.
|
Felix is going to be an interesting case. A huge amount depends on whether he can turn himself into an effective 'crafty' pitcher now that his fastball is pedestrian. The early reviews are not good on that front, but he's made adjustments throughout his career and I'm not yet ready to write-off the possibility he'll find a late-career rebirth.
With Felix you have a pitcher that got to the majors early to start the counting stats but struggled to harness his stuff (2005-2008), then hit a peak period of very high-level pitching (2009-2014) but has rapidly descended to being just barely above replacement-level.
If you'd asked me five years ago, I would have expected Felix would end up a lock for the Hall of Fame. Now...boy, I dunno. If he can't turn things around to being at least a decent starter for 3-5 more years, I don't think he gets in.