Quote:
Originally Posted by QuikSand
It's almost like forcing the #1 team in the country (that being earned over a full season) a mere one-and-done matchup with the #8 or #9 team is an insufficient way to reward their full year's worth of credentials. Hmm. A tiny bit less scourge-y perhaps.
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I gave it a good deal of thought before choosing this methodology to move forward. My goal was to try and determine the most likely team to win a playoff, while smoothing out some of the variance. I agree, it would be kind of boring if this resulted in the higher seeded teams always winning, but I'm finding out this isn't always the case (see 1998-1999 #8 Florida over #1 Tennessee). Or 1999-2000 #12 Marshall over #5 Tennessee with Marshall winning the majority of the simulations. On a single simulation, perhaps Tennessee comes out with the win and all is right with the world. "Of course Tennessee is going to win. There's no way a #12 seed is going to go into Neyland Stadium and beat the Vols!"