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I don't take it 100% at face value. But I'm not going to switch my vote today to the guy who called herbalist. I don't like the risk/reward of hanging Pass on Day 1 at this moment.
Here is the next thought - if someone else is the herbalist should they come forward and condemn Pass directly or try to be subtle about it? I think a one-to-one trade is probably worth it, but it would be even better to succeed in guiding the group to hang the fake herbalist while maintaining their secrecy. I think this would be very hard to do but would stand up and applaud at the end of the game if someone does pull that off.
Anyways, the thoughts you quoted were based on Pass as the herbalist. At this point they were intended to make the best of a less-than-optimal situation.
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