Quote:
Originally Posted by Narcizo
Particularly if there was a cultist conversion yesterday.
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Let's look at possibilities. If there was a conversion, then Martin is certainly a wolf. However, I think that's a thin possibility, because i don't think any of us would have suspected that a target or bodyguard would have been told if they were attacked. Wow, now that I think of that, if Chief confirmed that targets will be told they're attacked I think that's a huge point. Let me continue thinking out loud about this.
Before last night, wolves would have no reason to suspect targets would know they were attacked. So if they got a conversion, they still would not know, and it would not, I think, occur to them to have Martin fake a block and claim he knew he was attacked. I think we can rule out that possibility, and therefore rule out a conversion.
So that suggests either the wolves forgot a kill order or were indeed blocked. So if they were blocked, they may have become aware that the target would know they were attacked. In which case i can't see why Martin would fake it, because the wolves would know the real target and the real bodyguard both know he's lying. A cultist Martin might fake it, but would not know to do so because he wouldn't know that targets are informed.
If there was a forgotten kill order, again, no one would know to fake the target knowing.
So I have talked myself into 100% believing Martin. I can't see how the wolves would know that targets would be told they were attacked without having experienced a block. I guess the wrinkle here is that the night 1 kill might have suggested that to them. That seems really unlikely. I'm going to go back and check that Chief confirmed Martin's point about being told.