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Old 06-09-2009, 09:32 PM   #710
Barkeep49
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Not too far away
Quote:
Originally Posted by KWhit View Post
That's not true. It's a 20% chance for each player every night. So we'll find out each player's identity an average of 2.5 days after their jailed.

It's possible (not likely, but possible) that by Day 5 we find out the identity of every player in jail.
No it is right. The odds of having found Pass last night are 0, not 20%. Therefore tonight the odds of finding one person's aurora is 36%, not 49% as CR originally posted.
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