Quote:
Originally Posted by Barkeep49
Ok assuming 4 starting wolves as of tomorrow we have a 10% chance of finding one or two wolves. Assuming 5 starting wolves as of tomorrow we have a 13% chance of finding one or two wolves.
Assuming 4 starting wolves we have a 20% chance of lynching one tonight randomly. Assuming 5 starting wolves we have a 25% chance of lynching one tonight randomly.
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I'd feel pretty good about their only being 4 starting and 1 convert. Based on the recent discussions we had about ideal wolf:villager ratio, I think it is unlikely Dubb gave the wolves 5 starting and 1 convert.