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I certainly hope that if he loses the primary he makes the GOP Convention as much of a shitshow as January 6th was.
If he loses the primary, it's hard to see him running as an independent. Not necessarily because it's too much work (others would do the work), but in about half the states the deadline to file as an independent has passed by mid-summer which is when the likely GOP convention would be.
Not that I couldn't see a nomination-losing Trump wanting to run as a spoiler, but at that point few people would sign on to do all the hard work for a campaign which has literally no chance of winning.
So, best case scenario is that he loses a really close nomination fight, turns the convention into a violent shitshow that can't formally nominate a candidate, tied the whole thing up in litigation through Labor Day, and fatally weakens whomever the eventual nominee is, with potential downstream impacts.
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