Front Office Football Central - View Single Post - Werewolf II

Eaglesfan27 · 06-27-2005, 12:35 AM

Well basic math would give them a reason to go after airhog. Right now there are 17 of us left and we presumably aren't going to vote to lynch Airhog. Therefore, we have a 1/16 of voting for a werewolf as of this moment. If they eat someone besides Airhog that chance drops down to 1/15 chance of lynching a werewolf. However, if they eat Airhog we will still only have 1/16 chance of getting them. It's not a HUGE difference, but there is a statistical advantage to them going after Airhog. Of course, the bodyguards could protect him in which case it would be a wasted attack. It will be very interesting to see what the Werewolves do.

06-27-2005, 12:35 AM	#449
Eaglesfan27 Hall Of Famer Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: New Jersey	Well basic math would give them a reason to go after airhog. Right now there are 17 of us left and we presumably aren't going to vote to lynch Airhog. Therefore, we have a 1/16 of voting for a werewolf as of this moment. If they eat someone besides Airhog that chance drops down to 1/15 chance of lynching a werewolf. However, if they eat Airhog we will still only have 1/16 chance of getting them. It's not a HUGE difference, but there is a statistical advantage to them going after Airhog. Of course, the bodyguards could protect him in which case it would be a wasted attack. It will be very interesting to see what the Werewolves do. __________________ Retired GM of the eNFL 2007 Super Bowl Champion Philadelphia Eagles (19-0 record.) GM of the WOOF 2006 Doggie Bowl Champion Atlantic City Gamblers. GM of the IHOF 2019 and 2022 IHOF Bowl Champion Asheville Axemen.