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Originally Posted by Barkeep49
Dola -- The number of bad guys left is important. I no longer believe that one faction had less members than the other. Just doesn't seem like it makes sense, UNLESS the victory condition allows them to combine numbers (meaning if the wolves+mafia >= villagers then wolves/mafia win). So that means each side, most likely, either started out with 2, in which case there are 11 villagers 3 bad guys, or each side started out with 3, in which case there are 9 villagers and 5 bad guys. Either way it actually makes more sense to try and wipe out one faction first because that is one less night death each night. So if anyone has any ideas about who the Mafia is, as I think they are closer to elimination than the wolves, I would be very willing to change my vote.
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I'd rather go for a sure thing as opposed to conjecture...although you have no way of knowing this is a sure thing tonight. In any case, we'll be one wolf short within the next two days, so this is as sure as it gets.