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Old 07-11-2019, 02:41 AM   #1097
Brian Swartz
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: May 2006
Race to the World Tour Finals
Post-Wimbledon edition

In

Nicolas Perez - 8,720
John Hart - 5,840

Just the power couple here for now, claiming the first two spots. There's no question - at least right now - who is #1 and who is #2.

Probable

Harald Wentz - 5620
Chisulo Mpakati - 4630
Ollie Haas - 4150
Tim de Jong - 3570
Calisto Aviles - 3045

Wentz could well snag the runner-up spot by year's end as has been previously speculated, and Mpakati's Masters results are really weird - all early losses except the three in which he made the final. Make up your mind, dude. The Dutch Duo of Haas and de Jong look set to make their debuts as well. If all that happens we'd have a record four newcomers - typically there's one, maybe two.

Aviles could make it a 5th, but he's a massive question mark.

Contenders

Il-Sung Jung - 2760
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Ali Solberg - 2580

Jung hass done jack squat since the AO, and Solberg has been up and down. This last spot is begging for more competition at the moment, but my money's on Jung to grab the 8th selection and make it a truly stupid six new finalists below the Perez/Hart combo.

Long Shots

Lucas Perez - 2270
Srba Dogic - 2050
Mike Rhodes - 2030
Emilien Mathou - 2050
Seamus Hughes - 1980

Multiple players here are headed for free-fall; 10th-ranked Molyneaux doesn't even have enough this year to be listed. Others, such as Mathou, appear headed upwards. Perez could certainly do it if he can put it all together, but he's another highly inconsistent performer so I'm selling on his possibilities right now.

The most surprisingly thing is how short this list is. There's a whole raft of players in the 1500-1700 range, of a variety of shapes and sizes. Declining veterans, never-quite-got-there journeymen like Gonzoles and Moniotte, aspiring stars like Velilla and Kjaerstad who haven't achieved nearly enough just yet ...

It looks to me like with the big move upward that the current and future generation of stars made over the past year, we're now waiting for a second movement to happen. Lots of switching around and sorting around to go in the teens and low 20s. The 12-32 range currently has eight players at 28 or above, and Molyneaux set to join them soon as a 9th. As the sun sets on all of those careers, a clearer picture of the new 'on-deck' scenario will emerge - to be frustrated by the youth and talent of the present power structure for the most part.

Last edited by Brian Swartz : 07-11-2019 at 02:42 AM.
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