I don't get why you guys are so anxious to lynch. If we jail people, it's like we get extra seer scans. What is the harm?
And once we do find out if the jailed folks are good or bad, we will learn something about voting history. Wolves will not want one of their own to go to jail because there is a great chance they'll be discovered by the king within 2-3 days.
So once the king finds a wolf we'll learn a lot. And remember, it's 20% chance every night for each person in jail. Soon Schmidty is going to get a hit on a player and we'll learn a lot.
Chief Rum's analysis is spot on and important:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chief Rum
For the not, math inclined. If we jail someone every day, and those players remain in said jail, here are the chances by that day that we will have at least one aura scan:
After Night One (1 prisoner)== 20% chance to learn aura, 80% nothing
After Night Two (2 prisoners)==48.8% chance to learn aura, 51.2% nothing
After Night Three (3 prisoners)==73.8% chance to learn aura, 26.2% nothing
After Night Four (4 prisoners)==89.3% chance to learn aura, 10.7% nothing
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