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Old 02-18-2008, 02:51 PM   #357
Chief Rum
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Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
Quote:
Originally Posted by st.cronin View Post
nfg, what do you make of the fact that there are zero publicized n-0 scans that came up as wolf?

Well, we have 18 of the 21 scans so far, and they have already all come out as "student". I already did the math and found that the likelihood on even nine players getting scans and none of them getting wolf is 0.21% or about 1 in 500 chances. And that was nine villager scans not counted.

Even if the last three come up wolf, the number was much, much too small to have been random. I think it's a very reasonable guess that N0 scans are all "student" and essentially worthless.
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