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Old 02-16-2016, 06:44 AM   #259
Brian Swartz
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: May 2006
Race to the World Tour Finals
Post-USO Update


In

Antonin Iglar -- 9,910
Anil Mehul -- 9,760
Bjorn Benda -- 8,660
Cestmir Marcek -- 6,560

The race for year-end #1 could hardly be closer. When you add in the fact that two of three big remaining events(Tour Finals and Paris, the third is Shanghai) are to be played indoors, I figure it close to a 50-50 'coin-flip' proposition. Neither Iglar or Mehul can afford any slipups at this stage. Meanwhile, Marcek's overall body of work makes it impossible for him to drop out of the field at this point.


Probable

Girish Girsh -- 4,900
Pierce Gaskell -- 4,260
Perry Mockler -- 3,420


Girsh and Gaskell will qualify almost certainly; it's pretty much a matter of time. But after that, things are still very uncertain ...


Contenders


David Alvarez -- 3,240
--------------------------------
Thiago Herrera -- 3,160


Long Shots

Mugur Kinczllers -- 2,800
John Condon -- 2,760
Roger Federer -- 2,675
Radek Smitala -- 2,600
Perry Hogue -- 2,525
Marcelo Herrera -- 2,430


Outlook

It certainly appears that it will come down to two of Mockler, Alvarez, and Herrera getting in while the third is out, but all of the half-dozen long shots listed are still in it and particularly Kinczllers, Condon, and Smitala have been on the rise, playing their best tennis lately. It's rather remarkable to have a full 15 players still with a chance this late in the game, with less than two months until the field is finalized. Every week will shift things from here on out.
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