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Pure risk management? PurdueBrad for the 50/50 shot. I can think of a few reasons that the Marathoner would not want to come out against him and get shipped to Sparta. For starters, he would likely face intense scrutinty there - much more than PB has faced here.
Pure gut? Chief Rum, who seems to have moved from chatty villager on D1 to villager with an agenda on D2. Since that agenda involves going after a villager (me) I'm pretty suspicious of it. Also, he has led the charge for clearing PB in this thread. I think that has as much value in testing as any Abe/TheNorm relationship.
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