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Old 03-26-2024, 07:19 AM   #432
albionmoonlight
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: North Carolina
Hmmm. That makes some sense.

I'd like to see the rate of "success" (maybe defined as getting another set of downs) after a sack in college vs the NFL.

In college, an offense with an NFL-draftable QB is, almost by definition, going to be really really good relative to its competition. So maybe it can convert 2nd-and-17 and 3rd-and-12 at a surprisingly good clip. Yeah the guy takes sacks, but he make a hero throw on the next play, and it's first and ten again.

But in the NFL, sacks kill drives. Defenses are too good. Getting into second and third and long leads to punts way more often than not.

I'm not sure if the numbers back that up, but it feels right. And it would explain Q's observation above.
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