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Old 09-14-2015, 03:00 AM   #131
Brian Swartz
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: May 2006
Race Standings(after USO, WTC QF)

In

Bjorn Benda -- 10,650
Antonin Iglar -- 10,090
Perry Hogue -- 6250

The gap in the rankings is not yet reflected here in the Race, where Iglar has almost caught Benda. Perhaps my comments about waiting longer to take the top spot are premature. The difference between the two is that last year Benda won both of the remaining Masters events, along with a perfect run at the tour finals last season. Iglar has lost precisely one match in a big hardcourt event this year(Mehul in Miami), so the chance of repeating the Shanghai title appears unlikely. Paris and the WTF are going to be huge for these guys fighting each other for the top spot. Perry Hogue joins the group, a real example of majoring in the minors as he has racked up near-max points in the 'mickey mouse' 500 & 250 events.

Probable

David Almagro -- 5920
Mick Elder -- 5800
David Alvarez -- 5075

I've decided to wait on finalizing the exact 'cut line' until after the WTC semis are finished in a couple of weeks. That will change the picture a bit and is very time-consuming to pin down possibilities for each player. Almagro and Elder probably join the qualified at that point, but Alvarez is going nowhere fast these days and will likely take longer.


Contenders

Evgeni Topolski -- 3910
Viktor Goncharenko -- 3730

The Russians have separated themselves from the pack here. Topolski's semifinal run at the USO dramatically increased his chances, while it's been more of a steady approach for Goncharenko. They are far from safe, but they've opened a notable gap.


Long Shots

Anil Mehul -- 3460
David Prieto -- 3450
Julian Hammerstein -- 2940
Cestmir Marcek -- 2875

Becerril and Gaskell are far enough off the pace that they have dropped out of contention, at least for now. Prieto will probably lose another 100 points off of his WTC count, leaving Mehul at the head of the class here -- but all that means is that he's the most likely to be named 'best player left out'. Hammerstein and Marcek are still in the 'just good enough to be worth mentioning' category. Both still need a near-miracle, which at this stage basically means shocking the field to win one of the remaining Masters events.
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