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Without seeing full stat/scouting information, I'm going to make the general point that with your roster, where either guy is going to play (by my standards at least, I have occasionally ended up with 0 SF on my team and a glut of PG/SG, I have never considered this a problem at all), I want to make my team better. If I reach even a little for the better player, and it doesn't work out, and the lost time causes me to lose the SF as well, and now that Red/Red guy might get minutes, that's my disaster scenario.
If I'm going to be really good either way and a reach might get me a final four, ok, sure. But if I'm filling gaping holes in my roster, I'm going to tend towards taking less risks.
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