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Old 07-12-2016, 11:13 AM   #422
Brian Swartz
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: May 2006
Race to the World Tour Finals

It's time once again to see who is doing work in the first half of the year, and who needs to step it up in order to qualify for the Tour Finals.

In

Girish Girsh -- 7500
Gustavo Caratti -- 6390
Anil Mehul -- 5280

Girsh definitely has the inside track on staying on top through the end of the year. It'll be interesting to see whether Caratti can come close to maintaning his pace now that the clay season is done.


Probable

Antonin Iglar -- 5770
Pierce Gaskell -- 3430

Iglar's all but there, just needs one more decent event to assure himself a spot. Gaskell has the edge at making it back, but it's far from certain in his case.


Contenders

Bjorn Benda -- 2830
Thiago Herrera -- 2730
Mugur Kinczzlers -- 2640
---------------------------
Elias Trulsen -- 2640


Much can change, but if it stays this tight we could be in for a very dramatic finish. Kinczllers and Trulsen are dead-locked for the last spot. I predict that either Benda or Herrera, probably Herrera, will drop far enough to miss the field but there's a number of ways that this could go.


Long Shots

Agustin Herrera -- 2235
Theodore Bourdet -- 1945
Davide Poilblan -- 1920
Roger Federer -- 1870
Marcelo Herrera -- 1860
Tobia Alberti -- 1815
Garreth McCuskey -- 1785
Cestmir Marcek -- 1680

Only Agustin Herrera appears to be any threat to qualify here, and it's not likely even for him. The rest are in the pretender category, expected to mostly disappear by the USO until they demonstrate otherwhise. It's a veritable horde of 'not quite good enough', most of them either stagnant or declining. Mooljee, by the way, is one of the better players who didn't make this list. He'll probably be on it next year.

Last edited by Brian Swartz : 07-12-2016 at 11:16 AM.
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