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Old 04-21-2010, 07:31 AM   #273
Samdari
Roster Filler
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Cicero
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA View Post
I'm not entirely sure you could even get half, there simply isn't enough commercial inventory to make up for the difference in game.

Lemme see here, a little extremely loose math based on what I've seen spots go for in the past.

Now (I'll skip the nearly worthless play-in game)
32 R1 Games @ 1x dollars = 32 dollars
16 R2 Games @ 2x dollars = 32 dollars
8 S16 Games @ 3x dollars = 24 dollars
4 E8 Games @ 4x dollars = 16 dollars
2 FF Games @ 5x dollars = 10 dollars
1 Title Game @ 6x dollars = 6 dollars
63 Games Revenue = 120 dollars

Then (with a bump for the higher profile & spot scarcity)
8 S16 Games @ 4x dollars = 32 dollars
4 E8 Games @ 5x dollars = 20 dollars
2 FF Games @ 6x dollars = 12 dollars
1 Title Game @ 7x dollars = 7 dollars
15 Games Revenue = 78 dollars

So yeah, a little over half if my generosity is accurate, but that's strictly TV spot revenue and I think I'm probably overestimating it.

You are assuming they'll only let 16 teams in their tournament. I think it would be at least 32 (since that's roughly how many of those 64 make it every year) if not all 64.

Right, but the amount of revenue currently going to the top 64 teams is nowhere near half - its more like 5%. Having their own tournament with half the revenue would represent a HUGE windfall for the 64 teams.
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