I had us at 550K above. I'm cautiously optimistic we might come in below that as I had us at 50K deaths per month this year and we were "only" around 30K per for July/Aug/Sept/Oct (
COVID-19 pandemic deaths) - Wikipedia. But we're ramping back up with over 2K per day this past week and I'm not sure where those numbers go with a lot of full hospitals, holiday gatherings, and indoor conditions. With a vaccine on the horizon, I think we stay on the good side of 500K for the "official count". However, when history goes back and tries to get a "real count", looking at things coded as pneumonia or flu or the stupid crap that places like Florida are doing with their numbers, we're going to end up in that 500K-750K bucket.
SI