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Old 02-11-2019, 04:32 PM   #10
sabotai
General Manager
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: The Satellite of Love
Red Zone Playcalling

From the 11-20 yard lines, there's not much difference between playing calling Run vs. Pass. On 1st and 10 from the 11-20, teams do get more conservative, running it 60% of the time, and more aggressive on 2nd and 10 passing it 70% of the time. But once they get down to 2nd and 4, it's the same as outside the red zone. 3rd and 4th downs seem very similar to outside the red zone.

And when a team has a 1st or 2nd Down and TYG inside the 10, let's say 2nd and 4 from the 6, they get more conservative. Their run percentage shoots up.

Inside the 10 yard line (Down and Goal situations)

1st down from the 1: 75% run
1st down from the 2 to 10: 60% run

2nd down from the 1: 70% run
2nd down from the 2-3: 50% run
2nd down from the 4-8: 35% run
2nd down from the 9-10: 20% run

3rd down from the 1: 55% run
3rd down form the 2: 25% run
3rd down from the 3-10: 10% run

4th down from the 1: 55% run
4th down from the 2: 20% run
4th down from the 3-10: <5% run
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