[gstelmack]

Added this info to the first post, but pulling it here for those viewing unread:

UPDATE March 16, 2015, v 1.2.0.0:

Today's update has a new way of viewing the draft class based on some data mining analysis. You will see 5 new columns in the table view:

D? - how likely is this player to develop to a 40 rating or higher?
VG - how likely is this player to develop to a Very Good or Excellent rating?
G - how likely is this player to develop to a Good rating?
A - how likely is this player to develop to an Average rating?
FP - how likely is this player to develop to a Fair or Poor rating?

The calculation for these new columns is a combination of the player's grade, combine scores, percent developed, and the min range of the blue bars. The latter is scout dependent, so these ratings will not be the same for all scouts. Remember that these are percentages - my test cases showed in general about a 50% accuracy on the highest chance range being the range the player fit into, and above 95% on being within 1, if you've got a good scout. You will have to look at the pattern, and beware of players that are like 20/30/30/20 chances on these (QBs especially love to be unpredictable).

In addition, there is a new command on the Edit menu called "Slot by Rounds". This works by calculating a "slot score" from these new values (it's shown in the player details window). It's relatively straightforward, using the middle of each of these ranges to estimate player development, with D? being given a 40 weight (VG is 85, FP is 10, etc). The slot score is multiplied by your assigned position weights, and then banded to give players 1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc round slotting. That generates a draft order for all players. There is a special case for high return and special teams bars that can percolate otherwise poor players into the 7th or possibly 6th rounds.

This should help bring some improved advice to the drafting, building in some of the patterns expert drafters have dug up on their own, but remember that drafting is still playing the odds, this may just help you understand the odds a bit better.