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Old 04-22-2015, 04:41 PM   #696
EagleFan
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Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Mays Landing, NJ USA
Quote:
Originally Posted by fontisian View Post
Thank you.

I would highly recommend the bodyguard not claim in that case, unless they are under lynch pressure or Martin is lying.

Martin: Can you clarify that you were not protected by an item?

MartinD was probably shot for one of two reasons:
1. Scum thought he was some sort of power role. This could have come from confusion about his Medic claim.
2. Scum thought he would become confirmed town. This points to Autumn as potential scum.

EF: You are more than smart enough to realize that Martin D becomes confirmed town once I flip town. Why, then, did you contribute to a lynch on MartinD when you could have waited one Day and lynched me?

The conclusion I'm coming to is that scum wanted to lynch Martin, then me, then Vaimes, or Martin, then Vaimes, then me. The fact that only Autumn and Narc pointed this out is insane.

If you read you will see that I wanted to try to get a vote that meant something. I certainly didn't want an all Martin vote. Information is what I wanted. If you and Martin are wolves and we looked elsewhere it means we are now two days worth of potential bad lynches and night kills behind and would still be in the same position as before today's lynch. Having 3 completely unknowns.

If I am a wolf, Martin is definitely not the target. Keep the confusion between the two of you still out there.


We have the following possibilities:

1) MartinD is not the bodyguard and was targeted and protected and told that he was.
2) MartinD is the bodyguard and was targeted and protected and told that he blocked the attack.
3) MartinD is a wolf and is trying to out the real bodyguard (maybe because they were blocked last night).


Of the three of you, finding out either MartinD or you were the best options (as Vaimes comes up good in more of the scenarios that I looked through that made sense).

If MartinD is a wolf, we can be near certain that you are. If MartinD is the cultist, we can be near certain that you are. If MartinD is a villager, we are still unknown about you.

If we wait and find out your alliance:
If you are a wolf, we are unknown about MartinD, could be a bad luck village play.
If you are a villager, we know that MartinD is a villager (or close to certain).
If you are a cultist, we are unknown about MartinD.


So: 2 of the 3 MartinD results give us a certain outcome. Only 1 of the 3 results for you give us a certain outcome.
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