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Old 04-07-2020, 04:26 PM   #3415
whomario
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Join Date: Jul 2007
All countries i know of, the hardest hit regions really seem to be those with large initial numbers of cases and big cities or events facilitating an unnoticed spread. Even after a lockdown or other measures they already had too many to supress that first wave.

Seattle region seems to have been able to squash the initial outbreak because it still was decently few "Patient 0", whereas New York just couldn't track those and had more.

Same pattern in Italy or Spain, Germany too essentially has a very linear amount of increases linked to the origin regions of the initial wave of Holiday returnees from Italy and Austria (an earlier outbreak based on connections to china was actually contained).

The only outliers are big regional events.The region if Heinsberg f.e. in Germany has the biggest density of cases in Germany and it all started with 1 infected person attending a big carnival festivity. Even now almost all cases in the region can be traced back there.
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