Quote:
Originally Posted by SirFozzie
The only spot that really is up for grabs is probably sixth place, because there's only 11 months (which is not a long time in FIFA Rankings), most matches are already set, and in several cases, they already have CONCACAF Nations League games against minnows set which won't earn them many points)
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To put this "11 months" into perspective, since the FIFA Rankings of August 2018, the top5 in the CONCACAF all remained in that order (1 Mexico, 2 USA, 3 Costa Rica, 4 Jamaica, 5 Honduras), while Panama lost 6th place to El Salvador. El Salvador improved from 1332 to 1342 'points', while Panama dropped from 1343 to 1322 'points'.
Spots 8 through 15 all remained where they were (8 Canada, 9 Curacao, 10 Trinidad & Tobago, 11 Haiti, 12 Antigua & Barbuda, 13 Nicaragua, 14 St Kitts & Nevis, 15 Guatemala), all with pretty marginal changes in point totals. The gaps between teams are roughly 30 points each. In these 10 months time the biggest changes have been Panama losing 19 points and Costa Rica gaining 18 points.
All that before applying the recent Gold Cup results, which (as I understand from
www.football-rankings.info) will see some bigger shifts in point totals (Haiti +69, USA +53, Nicaragua -43, Mexico +42, T&T -34, Jamaica +28), with the new order expected to be 1 Mexico, 2 USA, 3 Costa Rica, 4 Jamaica, 5 Honduras, 6 El Salvador, 7 Panama, 8 Canada, 9 Curacao, 10 Haiti, 11 Trinidad & Tobago, 12 Antigua & Barbuda, 13 St Kitts & Nevis, 14 Nicaragua, 15 Guatemala.
So yeah, 12 months (with August 2018 to August 2019 as an example), is very little time to be able to move spots up.