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Old 02-20-2008, 06:09 AM   #1101
saldana
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dodgerchick came back as a student

vote nfg
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Old 02-20-2008, 06:10 AM   #1102
saldana
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hi neon, you are missing a fun one.
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Old 02-20-2008, 06:11 AM   #1103
saldana
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and for the quad dola....i have an important client coming in to visit for the entire morning, so I may not be around until late afternoon, or possibly even this evening when i get home.
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Old 02-20-2008, 06:27 AM   #1104
Passacaglia
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okay, so i scanned...what? really? ah, crap. That's okay. I'm told the next game will be worth twice as much, so it'll all even out.
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Old 02-20-2008, 06:37 AM   #1105
claphamsa
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my scan indicated Cronin is a wolf.
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Old 02-20-2008, 06:47 AM   #1106
Dr. Sak
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I scanned nfg and he came up a student. Chief I really think you are being silly worrying about a you vs nfg battle. There are a few scans of you already and they have come up student. Plus at the rate you are going you are 0 for 1. You scanned Lathum last night and said he came up wolf...well now you are doing the same to nfg. I am not counting N0 scans right now cause I dont know what to make of them. Hopefully you come back before the deadline to see some discussions.

I'd like to know if anyone scanned Pumpy, Oliegirl, Dodgerchick, and another one on Cronin.
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Old 02-20-2008, 07:04 AM   #1107
Pumpy Tudors
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I scanned nfg22 again, and he came up student for me this time. I was working toward finding out if I was the teacher's pet, but it seems that I'm not. I don't know which direction to turn right now, which I guess makes the wolves happy.
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Old 02-20-2008, 07:28 AM   #1108
Lorena
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I scanned Barkeep and he came up student again.
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:24 AM   #1109
st.cronin
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I scanned Chief Rum and he came up wolf. So far I'm either 1 for 2 or 0 for 1, depending on what happened n-0. I had greyroofoo as a villager and passacaglia as a wolf.
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:26 AM   #1110
claphamsa
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Quote:
Originally Posted by st.cronin View Post
I scanned Chief Rum and he came up wolf. So far I'm either 1 for 2 or 0 for 1, depending on what happened n-0. I had greyroofoo as a villager and passacaglia as a wolf.

or maybe your a wolf......
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:28 AM   #1111
st.cronin
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Originally Posted by claphamsa View Post
or maybe your a wolf......

Definitely not.
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:37 AM   #1112
The Jackal
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I scanned nfg and he came up a student.
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:43 AM   #1113
The Jackal
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And unfortunately I'm out all day and night working, probably not back until around 10:30 EST - so I'm going to put my vote on someone who was under some heat..

vote dodgerchick
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:45 AM   #1114
MikeVic
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Scanned Barkeep and he came up student for me.
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:46 AM   #1115
st.cronin
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The first part of this is n-1 scans, then the conclusions we can draw from those. After that I have the n-2 scans that are in so far, and how we can judge them.

Code:
scanner target result claphamsa Lathum Student Barkeep49 Lathum Student RendeR Lathum Wolf Chief Rum Lathum Wolf ntndeacon Lathum wolf The Jackal Barkeep49 Student saldana Barkeep49 Student Dodgerchick Barkeep49 Student SnDvls Barkeep Student nfg22 claphamsa Student MikeVic Clap Wolf Bsak16 Chief Rum Student oliegirl ChiefRum Student st.cronin Passacaglia Wolf Mr. Wednesday Passacaglia Wolf Pumpy Tudors nfg22 Wolf Lathum Dodgerchick Wolf Passacaglia RendeR Student mauboy1 no scan jeheinz72 no scan RendeR - between 0 and 100 that he's a wolf (since Pass was neither TP nor Fool) st.cronin - 0 chance that he's the Teacher's Pet Mr. Wednesday - 0 chance that he's the Teacher's Pet claphamsa - 0 chance that he's the Fool Barkeep49 - 0 chance that he's the fool RendeR - 0 chance that he's the Teacher's Pet Chief Rum - 0 chance that he's the Teacher's Pet ntndeacon - 0 chance that he's the Teacher's Pet Mr.Wednesday Chief Rum student (could be wrong) Chief Rum nfg22 wolf (could be wrong) Barkee49 nfg22 wolf (could be correct) st.cronin Chief Rum nfg22 (could be wrong)
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:49 AM   #1116
jeheinz72
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Hey folks, had no idea we were doing the group thing (I put in my night action at 6 PM EST)

I scanned DodgerChick and she came back student
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:50 AM   #1117
MikeVic
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This night 0 stuff is making this incredibly frustrating.
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:50 AM   #1118
st.cronin
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update:

Code:
scanner target result claphamsa Lathum Student Barkeep49 Lathum Student RendeR Lathum Wolf Chief Rum Lathum Wolf ntndeacon Lathum wolf The Jackal Barkeep49 Student saldana Barkeep49 Student Dodgerchick Barkeep49 Student SnDvls Barkeep Student nfg22 claphamsa Student MikeVic Clap Wolf Bsak16 Chief Rum Student oliegirl ChiefRum Student st.cronin Passacaglia Wolf Mr. Wednesday Passacaglia Wolf Pumpy Tudors nfg22 Wolf Lathum Dodgerchick Wolf Passacaglia RendeR Student mauboy1 no scan jeheinz72 no scan RendeR - between 0 and 100 that he's a wolf (since Pass was neither TP nor Fool) st.cronin - 0 chance that he's the Teacher's Pet Mr. Wednesday - 0 chance that he's the Teacher's Pet claphamsa - 0 chance that he's the Fool Barkeep49 - 0 chance that he's the fool RendeR - 0 chance that he's the Teacher's Pet Chief Rum - 0 chance that he's the Teacher's Pet ntndeacon - 0 chance that he's the Teacher's Pet Mr.Wednesday Chief Rum student (could be wrong) Chief Rum nfg22 wolf (could be wrong) Barkee49 nfg22 wolf (could be correct) st.cronin Chief Rum wolf (could be wrong) TheJackal nfg22 student MikeVic Barkeep49 student
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:50 AM   #1119
jeheinz72
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Ok,
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:50 AM   #1120
jeheinz72
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Ok, here are
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:52 AM   #1121
st.cronin
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Note that if we assume the wolves were hunting for the Teacher's Pet, then its pretty likely that Render actually is a student.
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:55 AM   #1122
jeheinz72
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Bah! Stupid tab button...

Ok, here are the numbers I have for Scanners, discounting N0. These are confirmed hits and misses (results from dead people whose side we know, Lathum and Pass). I'm discounting GRF since scans of him were all n0 which is just a clusterfuck.

BK - 1 for 1 (scanned Lathum-V, n1)
CR - 0 for 1 (scanned Lathum-W, n1)
Clap - 1 for 1 (scanned Lathum-V, n1)
Mr W - 0 for 1 (scanned Pass-W, n1)
NTN - 0 for 1 (scanned Lathum-W, n1)
RendeR -0 for 1 (scanned Lathum-Wm n1)
St. Cronin - 0 for 1 (scanned Pasa-W, n1)
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Old 02-20-2008, 08:58 AM   #1123
jeheinz72
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Here are the results of living people, as the person scanned, discounting n0

Barkeep: 0 Wolf out of 6
CR: 1 wolf out of 4
Clap: 1 wolf out of 2
DC: 1 wolf out of 3
nfg: 3 wolf out of 6
Render: 0 wolf out of 1
St. Cronin: 1 wolf out of 1
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:04 AM   #1124
jeheinz72
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I think CR had it about right, I'm deciding between him and nfg as to where my vote will go today. If nothing else, with Lathum's lynching, I see the value in lynching someone with a lot of scans on them.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:08 AM   #1125
st.cronin
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I had assumed yesterday that the wolves would target one of the players who had scanned Barkeep. That they didn't, and went for Pass instead, makes me think either:

1. that 1 or more of the players who scanned Barkeep n-1 are wolves
2. that there is something interfering with a scan of Barkeep
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:12 AM   #1126
st.cronin
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jeheinz, I agree - I think so far Chief Rum or nfg make the most compelling candidates. Lynch anybody else, and I think we lose ground in the information race.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:16 AM   #1127
mauchow
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saldana View Post
huh?

pass was not one of the group designated targets....why on earth would you have predicted he would be killed?

I didn't predict anything.

All I said was I didn't want to scan someone who was going to die which is why I stayed away from my group. It was a last second decision but I figured it'd be worth it.

I just read my PM this morning and it says my scan for Pass cleared him as a villager, so take that for what it's worth. Maybe my scan did count.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:17 AM   #1128
jeheinz72
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Originally Posted by st.cronin View Post
2. that there is something interfering with a scan of Barkeep

I had this same thought honestly. I know yesterday I spoke of the whole 80% thing about BK being good, but 6 out of 6 now? That just seems, improbable with out some n0-esque manuevering.

Pure spec here, but maybe one of the wolves (in this case barkeep) has some sort of cloak-theif-type-role where their scans come back as villager no matter what?

That's probably not anything worth going off of for today, but it's worth thinking about for later.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:18 AM   #1129
jeheinz72
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Originally Posted by st.cronin View Post
jeheinz, I agree - I think so far Chief Rum or nfg make the most compelling candidates. Lynch anybody else, and I think we lose ground in the information race.

Who do you like out of those two?
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:19 AM   #1130
claphamsa
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VOTE cronin.

jsut to get it all started....
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:22 AM   #1131
st.cronin
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Initially I guess I like nfg more, since it gives us two kinds of information: scan information, and vote information.

I'm also about convinced Barkeep's either a wolf or somehow in league with the wolves, although in either case, it may actually be harmful for us to lynch him. I think we need to stop scanning him, though.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:23 AM   #1132
MikeVic
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I didn't like the sound of nfg yesterday and kept my vote on him. but CR's weird vote has me scared of him now.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:28 AM   #1133
Barkeep49
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I was hoping I wouldn't have to reveal this early, but since cronin seems hung up on it: My role is that people scanning me will always get my true role (villager).
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:29 AM   #1134
Barkeep49
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Originally Posted by claphamsa View Post
VOTE cronin.

jsut to get it all started....
I think this is a bad vote. Basically the only thing we have to be suspicious of cronin is your 1 scan. It seems to me based on actions alone we'd want to look at CR and based on data points we'd want to look at NFG.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:30 AM   #1135
nfg22
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As per my group, I scanned CR. He came up smelling a little hairy. Wolf. I suppose this pits me even more against him. I dont know who to vote for right now.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:31 AM   #1136
nfg22
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Second, I think BK is cleared because there is no reason to make that statement.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:33 AM   #1137
jeheinz72
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Second, I think BK is cleared because there is no reason to make that statement.

Sure there is. It gets him trust of people (like you just did). He could just as easily be a wolf who always scans as a villager.

No offense BK, I'm not planning to come after you at all today or really anytime soon, but that "reveal" of yours means little to me.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:34 AM   #1138
nfg22
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BK could have been making that statement to throw us off but the risk outweighs the reward. He wasn't a top 2 target and his explanation is feasable.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:34 AM   #1139
jeheinz72
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It looks like the last night 2 scans we need are from NTN, Olie, RendeR and SnDvls
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:35 AM   #1140
nfg22
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How did I get people to trust me like that? I dont even have a role past seer.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:35 AM   #1141
jeheinz72
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BK could have been making that statement to throw us off but the risk outweighs the reward. He wasn't a top 2 target and his explanation is feasable.

What risk? There's no risk in his making that statement.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:35 AM   #1142
jeheinz72
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How did I get people to trust me like that? I dont even have a role past seer.

No I mean his statement gets others to trust him, which you did very quickly. That was my point.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:37 AM   #1143
Barkeep49
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Originally Posted by jeheinz72 View Post
Sure there is. It gets him trust of people (like you just did). He could just as easily be a wolf who always scans as a villager.

No offense BK, I'm not planning to come after you at all today or really anytime soon, but that "reveal" of yours means little to me.
Fair enough, but think of the game balance implications if this were held by a wolf. It could be potentially heavily imbalancing as anyone who scanned me would have not only learned nothing about how accurate they are but they would have recieved false info. I feel bad for the 5 people who've scanned me since they've basically wasted their scan, but at the same time I didn't feel like I could say "don't scan me"...
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:39 AM   #1144
nfg22
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Sir, I contend, it was quite time consuming to get other to trust me. I started with a 7-3 disadvantage. Then it took 4-5 hours to clear that up.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:43 AM   #1145
jeheinz72
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Sir, I contend, it was quite time consuming to get other to trust me. I started with a 7-3 disadvantage. Then it took 4-5 hours to clear that up.

No offense, but the way I read it, it didn't have a lot to do with you. It had a lot more to do with Lathum having been scanned so many times that it just made more sense in people's eyes.

I voted for DC yesterday, but if I was forced to choose between just you and Lathum, I would've voted for you (which of course is a very easy statement to make today, admiteddly). Point being, not sure if it was your convincing so much as it was a strategic-information-decision that people made.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:43 AM   #1146
RendeR
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Heiney: I think BK coming out with that nreveal does nothing but draw unwanted attention to him if he IS a wolf. And while I can see your PoV, I just think it'd be a poor move on BK's part to come out so early with something like that. Its not a smart play. And if I know anything about BK's play its that he's a smart cookie.

So yes its something to consider, but the timing, the reveal itself etc etc makes me think he's on the up and up on this one.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:44 AM   #1147
st.cronin
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VOTE NFG22
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:45 AM   #1148
RendeR
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I also agree with Heinz in that it wasn't anything you did nfg, to turn things yesterday. It was really all Lathum's own doing after a fashion. his own self fullfilling prophecy, so to speak.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:46 AM   #1149
RendeR
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Oh and my scan was on DC and she came back Student.
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Old 02-20-2008, 09:47 AM   #1150
jeheinz72
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Originally Posted by Barkeep49 View Post
Fair enough, but think of the game balance implications if this were held by a wolf. It could be potentially heavily imbalancing as anyone who scanned me would have not only learned nothing about how accurate they are but they would have recieved false info. I feel bad for the 5 people who've scanned me since they've basically wasted their scan, but at the same time I didn't feel like I could say "don't scan me"...

No, I get what you're saying. I guess while what you're saying could be completely true, and as of right now I don't necessarily doubt it, if it comes down near end-game I'm not putting you in any sort of COT based on that statement alone, ya know?

I think the balancing issue is minor. I think things have already been done to screw with that stuff a bit (n0, of course). So with n0 screwy, I don't find it too far out of the realm for a wolf to always scan as a student.

Frankly, I think you should have just told people not to scan you, if your statement is true. I mean you really have nothing to lose as a good guy, it's not like a scan would occur that would prove you as a liar and it's not like the wolves aren't full-well-clear that you're a student. Heck, the wolves would probably even keep someone around who always scans villager like that.
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