03-23-2010, 12:10 AM | #1 | ||
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Phoenix, AZ
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Second and Ten V7
I picked this game up because I wanted to play a replay history of the Buccaneers. I started in 1976.
We just won our first game of the season beating the Houston Oilers 23-10. It was a lot of fun but getting our first win 25 games ahead of schedule really kinda makes me wonder about the games realism a bit. Ok, a lot. The real Buccaneers didn't score that many points in any game all season and Houston handled them 20-0. In fact, the Buccaneers didn't score 23 until the fifth game of the next season ( and only one of three times that season the team scored over 10 points though they'd do that 6 times in '76 when the defense simply was horrid holding opponents to under 20 point in only two games) losing to Seattle 30-23. I know that it's hard to simulate a sport like this and having a human coach only skews results more the fact that we scored so much and that Houston scored so little really does seem a bit much. Can any players of this game tell me how well it holds up over time as far as realism goes? Is this really just a rare occurrence or is the AI not up to snuff against a human player?
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03-23-2010, 01:30 AM | #2 |
High School Varsity
Join Date: May 2006
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I've played SAT for years, and have always found the AI to be outstanding. One game isn't a good sample size, but since we are talking about the 76 Bucs, I totally understand your concern. You may want to talk about your experience over on the SAT forums, as I'm sure Richard and Wayne may be able to talk about the possibility of "outlier" experiences. I'll also be interested to know how the rest of your project goes!!
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03-23-2010, 08:27 AM | #3 |
College Starter
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Midwest
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I keep putting off getting this game. I would like to hear more about how the AI does in your Bucs project. I'd like to pick this up sometime before the summer.
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03-23-2010, 10:12 AM | #4 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
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I did a similar project with an earlier version, ended up getting pretty good numbers by throwing repeatedly to J.K. McKay (I was basically goofing around with a terrible team). I don't recall off-hand what record I ended up with but it was definitely better than their reality.
Typically with SAT the bottom line on realism comes back to your willingness to limit yourself to the actual usage of players. You can abuse the AI to some extent by pounded low touch/high average players a lot but that usually only goes so far too since there are performance penalties applied once you exceed a certain threshold over their real life limits.
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03-23-2010, 12:00 PM | #5 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jan 2004
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Quote:
I would also recommend playing out a season and let us know how the record comes out. I bet they don 't win more than 3-4 which in the real life you could probably find 2-3 games they came close to winning. |
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03-23-2010, 09:17 PM | #6 | ||
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Phoenix, AZ
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Quote:
3-4 games?? Yikes, that would be really bad. In truth, there were three games they lost by less than a touchdown and one other they lost by less than doubled digits but still, over 2 wins and I'd really wonder. I'd still love the game because I bought it to have fun not to exactly replay history exactly but I wouldn't consider it too realistic. We're not talking bad here, we're talking historically bad. No team has ever been worse. Rules were changed because we were so bad. Still, that experience stays with those of us who lived it. It's a weird badge of honor kind of thing and it has always amazed me how great the fans in Tampa were back then and how much the Buccaneers were part of our lives. Here's a good article written by Pat Toomay ( from ESPN page 2 who also christened us the worst team ever ) explaining that season from the inside. Excellent McKay quote in here and again, a look at the fans. Quote:
Yes, they were outscored in games by almost 4-1 and outtouchdowned 15 to 50. This simply isn't a team which could have possibly won 4 games but of course, they were in 3 of them so I take your point too. I'm playing the second game now ( I am playing slow to learn the game ) and I'm down 9-3 in the second quarter to San Diego. IRL they beat us 23-0. They're playing us a lot better than Houston did though and I don't really feel in it even down that little. I'll let you know.
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There are no houris, alas, in our heaven. Last edited by Axxon : 03-23-2010 at 09:20 PM. |
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03-23-2010, 09:25 PM | #7 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Phoenix, AZ
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Quote:
What's funny I was trying not to overuse anyone because it wasn't clear to me how drastic those penalties were. It was a matter of figuring out need plays vs throwaway plays and no one got particularly overworked. Spurrier threw exactly his season average in passes but ended up going 16/22 for over 200 yards and 2 touchdowns. No one got over 3 catches but that one was McKay. It was our defense that was over stout. Their sole TD was a White Shoes punt return which really was worth it for the memories alone because I was a huge White Shoes fan. What feels bad I've realized isn't the win, it's that we were never out of the drivers seat and as the game dragged on, it was clear we weren't going to lose it because they couldn't move the ball. I don't think we should have been in that much control given that team and I'd expect a win to be more of a lucky play thing than a solid team victory.
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There are no houris, alas, in our heaven. Last edited by Axxon : 03-23-2010 at 09:49 PM. |
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03-23-2010, 09:26 PM | #8 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Phoenix, AZ
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Quote:
I just might depending on how the season runs. I don't want them to think I'm complaining because I'm not but Wayne really seems to care about his product and would probably want to hear the feedback.
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03-23-2010, 11:55 PM | #9 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jan 2004
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Ok, I auto simmed that season to see what it looked like.
1st sim-Tampa Bay was 2-12 / Off 7 pts. avg./ Def 22 pts. avg. 2nd sim-Tampa Bay was 2-12 / Off 7 pts. avg. / Def 24 pts. avg. 3rd sim-Tampa Bay was 3-11 / Off 8.5 pts. avg./Def 22 pts avg.-three wins 21-13, 24-14, 10-6 (opponents win-loss record was 16-26) 4th sim- Tampa Bay was 3-11 / Off 9.5 pts. avg./Def 19 pts avg.-three wins 27-21, 21-13, 7-0 (opponents win-loss record was 8-34) 5th sim- Tampa Bay was 2-12 / Off 9.9 pts. avg./Def 26 pts avg. So they are pretty bad as far the stats show. The offense averaged in the sims here 8 points was almost certainly the worst in Pro Football Modern history since 1970 onwards. The defense was bad averaging in the sims here 23 points . The wins were usually the Bills, Jets, Seahawks, and the Chiefs who were some of the other worst teams in the league. |
04-21-2010, 08:40 PM | #10 |
College Starter
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Midwest
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I'm shooting this back up because I had a question after visiting the site. I'm buying this game to do a Colts sim over the summer while I'm in England.
It says something about being able to draft players. I know there's a fantasy draft for a season where you start from scratch, but do you have the option after finishing one season drafting for the next? So if I finish the season with the 1986 Colts, would I get to draft prior to the 1987 season? Thanks for the help. |
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