NBA Over/Under Contest

[nilodor]

Rules may be adjusted once someone who is actually familiar with gambling makes a comment but I think it would be fun to bet on the NBA over/under lines.

Here are the rules:
- You have a total of $100 to distribute as you see fit
- You must bet a minimum of $10 on each team
- You must bet on a minimum of 3 teams
- You win double if you make your bet (e.g. If you bet $20 on the Utah over and they make it, you get $40)

We can adjust these depending on the comments.

Here are the lines:

Up to September 30

Spoiler

Warriors 66.5
Spurs 56.5
Clippers 53.5
Jazz 47.5
Blazers 46.5
Thunder 45.5
Grizzlies 43.5
Rockets 41.5
-------------
Timberwolves 41.5
Mavericks 39.5
Pelicans 36.5
Nuggets 34.5
Kings 32.5
Suns 26.5
Lakers 24.5

Cavaliers 56.5
Celtics 51.5
Raptors 49.5
Pistons 45.5
Pacers 43.5
Hawks 43.5
Wizards 42.5
Hornets 39.5
-----------
Bucks 39.5
Bulls 38.5
Knicks 38.5
Magic 36.5
Heat 36.5
76ers 27.5
Nets 20.5

October 1 to

Spoiler

Hawks 43.5
Celtics 52.5
Nets 21.5
Hornets 40.5
Bulls 40.5
Cavaliers 56.5
Mavericks 39.5
Nuggets 36.5
Pistons 45.5
Warriors 66.5
Rockets 43.5
Pacers 44.4
Clippers 53.5
Lakers 25.5
Grizzlies 43.5
Heat 35.5
Bucks 35.5
Timberwolves 41.5
Pelicans 36.5
Knicks 40.5
Thunder 45.5
Magic 37.5
76ers 28.5
Suns 28.5
Blazers 45.5
Kings 32.5
Spurs 57.5
Raptors 50.5
Jazz 47.5
Wizards 42.5

Close date is October 21st, friday before the season starts.

Post your entries in this thread and we'll check in at the end of the season to see who wins bragging rights.

[stevew]

Heat-Under 80$
Kings over 10$
Rockets Over 10$

[Subby]

Warriors $40 under
Jazz $20 under
Blazers $20 under
Hawks $20 over

[nilodor]

Originally Posted by Subby

Warriors $100 on the under

You need to bet 3 different teams =)

[nilodor]

Overs
$40 Nuggets
$20 Raptors
$10 Bucks

Unders
$20 Bulls
$10 Celtics

[jbergey22]

$40 on Nuggets under and Mavs under, $20 on Lakers under

[Balldog]

Over
Pistons - $25
Mavs - $25

Under
Jazz - $25
Wizards - $25



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Subby]

Originally Posted by nilodor

You need to bet 3 different teams =)

Whoops - fixed!

[nol]

I'd put a lot on the Bucks and Heat going under, but those will be changed to reflect recent injuries. Disregarding the East for now, I'd say

Lakers under $60
Jazz over $20
Blazers under $10
Warriors over $10

[CrescentMoonie]

Spurs - Over $25
Pelicans - Under $25
Wizards - Over $25
Heat - Under $25

[nilodor]

So to keep this interesting I'll post updated lines. So the first set of lines will apply to all of the bets before this post. This set will go until I post the next set of lines.

If you have bet before, you can have a fresh hundred to bet a new, following the same rules (Must bet on 3 teams, $10 minimum).


October 1 to

Spoiler

Hawks 43.5
Celtics 52.5
Nets 21.5
Hornets 40.5
Bulls 40.5
Cavaliers 56.5
Mavericks 39.5
Nuggets 36.5
Pistons 45.5
Warriors 66.5
Rockets 43.5
Pacers 44.4
Clippers 53.5
Lakers 25.5
Grizzlies 43.5
Heat 35.5
Bucks 35.5
Timberwolves 41.5
Pelicans 36.5
Knicks 40.5
Thunder 45.5
Magic 37.5
76ers 28.5
Suns 28.5
Blazers 45.5
Kings 32.5
Spurs 57.5
Raptors 50.5
Jazz 47.5
Wizards 42.5

[SirFozzie]

76ers Under 28.5 $20

Heat Under 35.5 $20

Celtics Over 51.5 $10

Thunder Over 45.5 $20

Knicks Under 40.5 $30

[stevew]

Pelicans over 35
Heat under 45
Sixes under 20

[BishopMVP]

Aah, didn't see you put the cutoff at last Friday. For posterity's case, & going off the latest lines

Spoiler

http://www.oddsshark.com/nba/2016-17-nba-regular-season-win-totals

Golden State Warriors 66.5
San Antonio Spurs 58.5
Cleveland Cavaliers 56.5
Los Angeles Clippers 53.5
Boston Celtics 52.5
Toronto Raptors 50.5
Utah Jazz 49
Portland Trail Blazers 45.5
Detroit Pistons 44.5
Indiana Pacers 44.5
Houston Rockets 44
Oklahoma City Thunder 43.5
Atlanta Hawks 43.5
Memphis Grizzlies 42.5
Charlotte Hornets 42.5
Washington Wizards 42.5
Minnesota Timberwolves 40.5
Dallas Mavericks 38.5
New York Knicks 38.5
Chicago Bulls 38.5
Orlando Magic 37.5
New Orleans Pelicans 37
Denver Nuggets 37
Milwaukee Bucks 34.5
Miami Heat 34.5
Sacramento Kings 34
Phoenix Suns 30
Philadelphia 76ers 24.5
Los Angeles Lakers 24.5
Brooklyn Nets 20.5

Detroit UNDER 44.5 $40
New York OVER 38.5 $10
Minnesota UNDER 40.5 $20
Golden State OVER 66.5 $20
Boston OVER 52.5 $10 (Al Horford for MVP! 62% FG & 71% 3-pointers is clearly sustainable!)

[nilodor]

Let's check the results!

	             Total Bet	Total Won	  ROI
Balldog	            100	     0	           0%
BishopMVP	            100	   180	 180%
CrescentMoonie       100	   150	 150%
jbergey	            100	    80     	  80%
nilodor	            100	   140	 140%
nol	                    100	    80	          80%
SirFozzie	            100	   160	 160%
stevew	            200	    60    	  30%
Subby	            100	    40	          40%
Grand Total	           1000	   890    	  89%

So the casino makes its vig. No one with a complete sweep. Something I think we can try again next year.

[Atocep]

Vegas must have made a killing on the Heat this year.

[BishopMVP]

Stupid Knicks.

[nilodor]

Originally Posted by Atocep

Vegas must have made a killing on the Heat this year.

Bucks as well, especially after the middleton injury.

[stevew]

To be fair, I'd have hedged that Heat bet once they went on that streak.

[CrescentMoonie]

Damn, that insane Heat run is my only miss.

[nol]

Originally Posted by nol

I'd put a lot on the Bucks and Heat going under, but those will be changed to reflect recent injuries. Disregarding the East for now, I'd say

Lakers under $60
Jazz over $20
Blazers under $10
Warriors over $10

It was fun to get 3 of the 4 and then have the Lakers be so inept at tanking that a Buss sibling power struggle led to them not making any moves until right before the trade deadline, which meant they won too many games with Lou Williams and had to blatantly tank the remainder the season. So blatantly, in fact, that it pissed off opposing teams who tanked in response to keep the Lakers from getting the league's 2nd-worst record, which resulted in the Lakers' bench players winning 5 straight games to end the season and beating the over by 0.5. And then of course the Lakers move up to #2 in the lottery anyways.