World Cup Calcutta Pool

[cartman]

Lemme know if this looks correct:

			Bid	
Group A			
	Brazil		$73.00	MalcPow (25% owned by digamma)
	Croatia		$12.00	hahnkim (rights sold to Landshark44)
	Mexico		$20.00	Chief Rum
	Cameroon	$4.00	digamma
			
Group B			
	Spain		$65.00	Landshark44
	Netherlands	$28.00	cartman
	Chile		$27.00	hahnkim (50% owned by digamma)
	Australia	$3.00	hahnkim
			
Group C			
	Colombia	$43.00	cartman
	Greece		$11.00	Critch
	Ivory Coast	$30.00	Chief Rum
	Japan		$8.00	hahnkim
			
Group D			
	Uruguay		$15.00	digamma
	Costa Rica	$6.00	digamma
	England		$35.00	Karlfornia
	Italy		$50.00	cartman
			
Group E			
	Switzerland	$19.00	britrock88
	Ecuador		$20.00	Chief Rum
	France		$53.00	hahnkim
	Honduras	$7.00	cartman
			
Group F			
	Argentina 	$77.00	hahnkim
	Bosnia 		$24.00	hahnkim
	Iran		$4.00	brtirock88
	Nigeria		$10.00	cartman
			
Group G			
	Germany		$88.00	hahnkim
	Portugal	$15.00	britrock88 (rights sold to Landshark44)
	Ghana		$5.00	MalcPow
	United States	$13.00	digamma
			
Group H			
	Belgium		$42.00	cartman
	Algeria		$5.00	cartman
	Russia		$26.00	critch
	South Korea	$13.00	hahnkim

[britrock88]

That's what I have.

[digamma]

I agree.

[Landshark44]

Brazil - - 3/1 73$
Argentina - - 9/2 77$
Germany - - 11/2 88$
Spain - - 6/1 65$
Belgium - - 18/1 42$
England - - 20/1 35$
France - - 25/1 53$
Italy - - 22/1 50$
Netherlands - - 25/1 28$
Uruguay - - 25/1 15$
Colombia - - 33/1 43$
Portugal - - 25/1 15$
Chile - - 40/1 27$
USA -- 100/1 13$
Russia - - 100/1 26$
Mexico - - 125/1 20$
Switzerland - - 125/1 19$
Ecuador - - 150/1 20$
Ivory Coast - - 125/1 30$
Croatia - - 150/1 12$
Japan - - 150/1 8$
Bosnia - - 150/1 24$
Ghana - - 200/1 5$
Greece - - 200/1 11$
Nigeria - - 250/1 10$
South Korea - - 300/1 13$
Australia - - 500/1 3$
Cameroon - - 500/1 4$
Algeria - - 1000/1 5$
Costa Rica - - 1000/1 6$
Honduras - - 1500/1 7$
Iran - - 1500/1 4$

[cartman]

Here's the per bidder breakdown:

britrock88
Switzerland	$19.00	
Iran		$4.00	
		$23.00
	
cartman		
Netherlands	$28.00	
Colombia	$43.00	
Italy		$50.00	
Honduras	$7.00	
Nigeria		$10.00	
Belgium		$42.00	
Algeria		$5.00	
		$185.00	

Chief Rum		
Mexico		$20.00	
Ivory Coast	$30.00	
Ecuador		$20.00	
		$70.00	

Critch
Greece		$11.00	
Russia		$26.00	
		$37.00	

digamma		
Cameroon	$4.00	
Uruguay		$15.00	
Costa Rica	$6.00	
United States	$13.00	
		$38.00	
		
hahnkim
Chile		$27.00	
Australia	$3.00	
Japan		$8.00	
France		$53.00	
Argentina 	$77.00
Bosnia		$24.00	
Germany		$88.00	
South Korea	$13.00	
		$293.00

Karlfornia		
England		$35.00	

Landshark44		
Spain		$65.00
Portugal	$15.00	
Croatia		$12.00
		$92.00	

MalcPow		
Brazil		$73.00	
Ghana		$5.00	
		$78.00	
		
		

[Landshark44]

cartman,


can you just put Croatia and Portugal under my name.... part of the deal was that I pay Digamma for them...


So- landshark44 owes Digamma


Spain 65$
Portugal 15$
Croatia 12$


the other guys (hahnkim and britrock88) are off the hook for those purchases..

[cartman]

Ok, change made

[Landshark44]

thanks, buddy...

[digamma]

I have purchased 50% of Chile and 25% of Brazil. Just FYI.

[cartman]

Now that we are getting into the 2nd games for each group, teams will start to qualify for the knockout round as well as start their journeys home. I'll keep this post updated with teams that have advanced, and what their minimum payout will be.

Brazil			$85.10 (75% MalcPow, 25% digamma)
Netherlands		$85.10 (cartman)
Argentina		$85.10 (hahnkim)
Germany			$85.10 (hahnkim)

Eliminated:
Belgium			$42.55 (cartman)
Costa Rica		$42.55 (digamma)
France			$42.55 (hahnkim)
Colombia		$42.55 (cartman)
Uruguay			$21.28 (digamma)
Chile			$21.28 (50% hahnkim, 50% digamma)
Nigeria			$21.28 (cartman)
Algeria			$21.28 (cartman)
Mexico			$21.28 (Chief Rum)
Greece			$21.28 (Critch)
Switzerland		$21.28 (britrock88)
United States		$21.28 (digamma)
Australia
England
Bosnia
Cameroon
Croatia
Italy
Japan
Ivory Coast
Iran
Ecuador
Honduras
Portgual
Ghana
Russia
South Korea

Amounts won by bidder:

hahnkim		$223.39
cartman		$212.76
digamma		$117.03
MalcPow		$63.82	
Chief Rum	$21.28
Critch		$21.28
britrock88	$21.28

[Vince, Pt. II]

Been following this thread intently as the bidding strategy is crazy interesting to me. Napkin math gives me $852 for the total pot, for the following payouts:

$21.50 - losing in the round of 16
$42.60 - losing in the round of 8
$85.20 - losing in the round of 4
$106.70 - losing in the final
$213.00 - Winning the World Cup

[cartman]

The payouts are on the previous page of the thread, towards the bottom.

[cartman]

digamma is almost in the black with his Costa Rica buy

[hahnkim]

Hey Guys,

I'm interested in selling off France. Anyone interested should PM me offers.

[britrock88]

I was really liking my chances with Iran today...

[cartman]

With Costa Rica and Uruguay through to the knockout round, digamma is playing with house money going forward.

[cartman]

Critch happy with the penalty call, Chief Rum is gutted.

[Critch]

Stonewall penalty, never for a moment doubted that Greece would be going through.

Hopefully I have some luck left over for Russia on Thursday.

[cartman]

Updated with the conclusion of the group stage. As always, review of my calculations is much appreciated.

[digamma]

And then there were four.

cartman has Holland, Belgium and Colombia.
hahnkim has France, Germany and Argentina (so one guaranteed semifinalist).
MalcPow has most of Brazil.
digamma has Costa Rica and a little Brazil.

[MIJB#19]

hahnkim's Germany-Argentina combo is looking good right now.

[digamma]

And with the Argentina win, we are done. hahnkim has both of the finalists.

All amounts have been paid to the winners.

Final results:

	        Winnings 	 Costs	 Per $ 	Total won/(lost)
 MalcPow 	 $63.83 	 $58.00 	 $1.10 	 $5.83 
 digamma 	 $117.01 	 $73.00 	 $1.60 	 $44.01 
 Chief Rum 	 $21.28 	 $70.00 	 $0.30 	 $(48.73)
 Karlifornia 	 $-  	         $35.00 	 $-   	         $(35.00)
 cartman 	 $212.75 	 $185.00 	 $1.15 	 $27.75 
 Landshark44 	 $-  	 $92.00 	 $-   	         $(92.00)
 hahnkim 	 $393.59 	 $278.00 	 $1.42 	 $115.59 
 britrock88 	 $21.28 	 $23.00 	 $0.93 	 $(1.73)
 Critch 	 $21.28 	 $37.00 	 $0.58 	 $(15.73)

[digamma]

Sorry the table is such a mess.

[cartman]

if you put it in code /code (with brackets) it will keep the formatting. Like this:

		Winnings 	Costs	Per $	Total won/(lost)
MalcPow 	$63.83 		$58.00 	$1.10	$5.83 
digamma 	$117.01 	$73.00 	$1.60 	$44.01 
Chief Rum 	$21.28 		$70.00 	$0.30 	$(48.73)
Karlifornia 	$- 		$35.00 	$- 	$(35.00)
cartman 	$212.75 	$185.00	$1.15 	$27.75 
Landshark44 	$- 		$92.00 	$- 	$(92.00)
hahnkim 	$393.59 	$278.00 $1.42 	$115.59 
britrock88 	$21.28 		$23.00 	$0.93 	$(1.73)
Critch 		$21.28 		$37.00 	$0.58 	$(15.73)

[digamma]

fixed. Thanks.

[cartman]

Thanks for the idea and running this. It was a lot of fun!

[digamma]

A few other funnish notes....

Best buys:
Costa Rica returned $7.09 on the dollar
Algeria $4.26
the Netherlands $3.04

The FOFC market also proved to be a pretty good predictor, whether intentionally or not. The two highest priced teams are playing on Sunday and the third highest priced team lost in the semis. Spain, the fourth pick, crapped out, obviously.

Belgium and Colombia went for 42 and 43, respectively, and paid out 42.55.

[cartman]

Originally Posted by digamma

Belgium and Colombia went for 42 and 43, respectively, and paid out 42.55.

Woohoo! I made 10 cents! Now just need to do that a few hundred million more times, and I'm set!

[hahnkim]

Thanks digamma for running the whole shebang.

[britrock88]

[digamma]

I'm up for it again.

[Critch]

I'm in like Flynn.

As in I'm interested, not that I'm going to prison.

[cartman]

Me too!

[Landshark44]

me too

[cartman]

World Cup is about a month away. Do we have an interested group to run this again?

[digamma]

I don't think I have the time to run the pool this year, but I'm certainly up for participating.

[QuikSand]

want

[kingfc22]

Want

[Critch]

make it so

[cartman]

I should be able to run it. I'm thinking we do the auction like last time, over 4 days, likely the Tu-Fri after Memorial Day. We'll bid on 8 random teams each day.